How likely is a team to reach the playoffs of IPL 2023? Looking at the statistics, these teams can come in the top 4
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IPL 2023 is getting exciting as it progresses. Currently, which 4 teams will qualify for the playoffs for IPL 2023 is still uncertain. Even after 56 league matches this season, this has not been cleared yet.
All 10 teams are still in the race to reach the top-4 in IPL 2023. Each team has to play 14 matches in the league phase of IPL 2023. Currently, two teams are certain to make it to the playoffs, but as much as cricket is a game of uncertainties, the race to the IPL playoffs is no less exciting. Which team will qualify in the playoffs is the question in every cricket fan's mind.
How are these playoffs calculated?
All 16,384 possible combinations of IPL 2023 results can be viewed. There are still 14 matches left in this tournament. All teams are assumed to have equal chances of winning. Following this assumption, let's see how many combinations place each team in the top-4 slots based on points. For example, DC only makes the top four in 1,125 out of 16,384 possible outcomes. There is a 6.9 percent chance of reaching top-4 based on marks. This assumption does not take into account the net run rate as it is impossible to predict in advance.
Also Read: Top 5 Reasons To Watch IPL On Digital Platform This Year
How likely is a team to make the playoffs?
- Gujarat Titans are likely to occupy one of the top three positions in terms of points. No matter how badly the team performs from here, the team will at least finish third. However, the probability of being at the top is 80.1 percent. is possible. Also, the probability of getting out of the top-3 based on net run rate is only 0.4 percent.
- Chennai Super Kings are already in the top-4 on points and have a 99.3 percent chance of retaining their spot in the top-4.
- Rajasthan Royals moved up to the third position with yesterday's win. The probability of him being in the top-4 is 56.3 percent. Barring an upset, the team is very close to making the playoffs.
- Mumbai Indians have a 75.3 percent chance of reaching the top-4 on the basis of points. It is likely to be at number 3 or 4. However, the Mumbai team may have to depend a lot on the net run rate.
- Lucknow Super Giants have a 43.7 percent chance of finishing in the top four. It is currently at number 5. According to the current situation, there is a strong possibility that he will not reach the top-4. However, a lot will depend on the performance of some teams.
- Royal Challengers Bangalore are currently sixth and have a 35.4 percent chance of making it to the top four. The Bangalore team is likely to end the season at the last position.
- Kolkata Knight Riders are now seventh after losing yesterday. The possibility of him reaching the top-4 is only 15.1 percent. However, only some charisma can make the Punjab team reach the third position.
- Punjab Kings are now at the eighth position. They have a 35 percent chance of reaching the top-4 like RCB. However, he still has a chance to reach 16 points.
- Sunrisers Hyderabad are ninth this season and have a 23.1 percent less chance of reaching the top-4. However, he has a match left and can reach 16 points. Looking at his current performance, it seems difficult.
- Delhi Capitals have been at the bottom this year like most of the season. His chances of finishing in the top four are no more than 6.9 percent. Even if they win all those remaining matches, they can stake their claim for third or fourth place and it would be nothing short of a miracle if that happens.
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